I recently ran across David Robinson’s article (see http://ontariowindperformance.wordpress.com/2010/09/24/chapter-3-1-powering-ontario/#comment-219) where he took a detailed look at the performance of wind power production in the province. His purpose was to confirm or disprove “facts” about wind power. His analysis has shown many “facts” to be anything but. Given some time, I’m hoping to do a similar analysis of UK power but to spend a bit more time on the probability distributions of actual performance to enable some assessments of future forecasting. See first steps here and here.
Ontario Wind Performance