In follow-up to my posting yesterday on Wind energy production, we have generated similar histograms and (first-pass and to be improved) fitted probability distributions for the other fuel-types as published. This is all part of a step-by-step plan to do some looking into the future of future changes in fuel type mixes.
Here is the overall summary of means, and the figures below show the histograms and fitted probability distributions.
The first is Combined Cycle Gas Turbines (CCGT), producing on average 17 GW, as shown below.
Coal is another “biggie” , producing on average 11.6 GW. It has an intersting “double peak” centered around 3 GW and another around 14 GW.
Nuclear energy produced on average 6.9 GW, and again there is an interesting double peak, one centred between 5-6 GT, and another between 7 and 8 GW.
Electricit from hydroelectric sources relatively small (about the same as current Wind production) at 0.3 GW:
The numbers for pumped storage are interesting as they show both positive and negative numbers. I’m presuming that positive are output generation and negative is the power to pump the water into the reservoirs since this signage would be the same as other other data. The mean is a negative -0.1 GW which presumably is an indicator of the next cost of pump storage and how it is not a power source as sometimes suggested:
The other fuel sources for which there is data are relatively insignificant and are included here for completeness
- Oil 0.06 GW
- Open Cycle Gas Turbine 0.004 GW
Another two interesting graphs show the pattern of power in/out of Ireland (-0.2 GT) and France (next):
Here is France (0.4 GW)
Finally, for completeness, here is the results for Wind as reported yesterday (0.4 GW):